MANAGED RETREAT
By Kate Mason
Private home ownership under imminent threat in Greater Sydney and parts of NSW, and New Zealand
Coming to an area near you soon.
Recently, I was listening to an interview on Reality Check Radio with New Zealander Salima Padamsey from Coastal Rate Payers Union. Salima was speaking about managed retreat, uninsurable homes, and services to coastal towns being cut off based on climate change modelling.
This led me to investigate what Australian based organisations were saying about managed retreat. I found:
Uninsurable Homes:
A Report titled “1 in 25 homes uninsurable by 2030” by the Climate Council of Australia outlines how they are compounding climate risks, such as bush fire, flooding, and ocean rise; leading to homes being classified as uninsurable or justifying exorbitant insurance costs.
For example, whilst your property may be at low risk of bushfire and flooding, compounding these risks can take your property into the medium-risk threshold. Climate Council has a climate risk map of Australia, where you can enter your postcode and see the risks.
The Climate Council’s definition of high-risk is repairs equalling 1% of the property value yearly to address climate change effects on your property. That is, if you have a $1,000,000 property and it’s assessed that you need to spend $10,000 a year on your property for anything attributed to climate change, then your house is in the uninsurable category.
The definition of medium-risk is repairs equalling 0.2-1% of property price. That is, on a $1,000,000 property assessed repairs equal to $2,000 per year may lead to higher insurance premiums. See 1. Below:
Managed retreat and natural asset management are discussed as solutions.
Managed retreat:
On 23 February 2024, the NSW Government released the Disaster Mitigation Plan 2024-2026. The plan was released through the recently formed NSW Reconstruction Authority and references large scale multi hazard managed relocation (policy to be released mid 2025).
The Disaster Mitigation Plan references the Local Government Areas most at risk of climate change. Central Coast is number 1 on the list. You can see the list on page 62 of the Plan. Page 63 outlines the Local Government Areas (LGA) at most risk by 2060.
NSW Reconstruction Authority Act 2022:
Under the NSW Reconstruction Authority Act, the Reconstruction Authority has the legal authority to direct Council and to form partnerships with corporations:
14 Cooperation with other agencies (1) In exercising its functions, the Authority may work in cooperation with other government agencies, and other persons and bodies, the Authority thinks appropriate, whether or not the agencies, persons or bodies are in or of the State.
The NSW Reconstruction Authority is involved in disaster prevention, preparedness, and adaption as well as recovery and reconstruction:
45 Particular powers of Authority in relation to declarations: The Authority has the following powers in relation to a declared project or a reconstruction area or disaster prevention area— (a) the power to acquire land for the declared project, or relevant land— (i) by agreement, or (ii) by compulsory process in accordance with the Land Acquisition (Just Terms Compensation) Act 1991
Who is involved in managed retreat planning?
Public, Private Partnership think tank, Committee for Sydney is involved in policy research and advocating to government. In 2023 they released a Report (in partnership with Resilient Sydney, AECOM and insurance conglomerate IAG) titled Defending Sydney: Adaptive planning for today’s flooding and tomorrow’s climate risks.
Within the report, they discuss the need for managed retreat, as well as infrastructure companies determining which areas will be serviced. “Preparing plans to reduce the impact of floods and other disasters will require trade-offs between and within communities, and decisions by service providers about when and how to invest”. p.14
The report states that the climate modelling will be integrated within the Greater Sydney Commission city plans. “Embed in the Six Cities Region Plan, a high, medium and low climate risk overlay that considers projected future climate risk.” p.14 See 2. Below
They also discuss the need to have climate risks outlined in a house certificate, the outcome being that when you try to sell your property, you may have trouble. “Update S.107 certificates to include all hazard exposure and how global warming is expected to change or exacerbate these hazards.” p.66
Committee for Sydney members include Amazon, the big 4 Consultancy Firms, Banks, energy companies, etc. Sprinkled throughout are local governments and NGO’s. A question could be asked as to who really holds the balance of power.
In 2018, Committee for Sydney released their report, “The Sandstone Mega-Region, uniting Newcastle – the Central Coast – Sydney – Wollongong”.
This report called for a 6 City region prior to NSW Government releasing their 6 City Plan four years later in 2022. In the report they list the think tanks that worked on the report. Listed first is a body called The Business of Cities. This organisation has a partnership with the World Economic Forum (1000 largest global corporations).
The Committee for Sydney partners with Resilient Sydney. In 2013 the Rockefeller foundation established the Resilient Cities initiative. They chose 100 cities around the world to fund, including Sydney and Melbourne. The Resilient Cities Network is now in place to further this initiative. Their partners include many of organisations which would be helpful to familiarise yourself with, one partner is the World Economic Forum.
Rockefeller’s definition of Resilience is:
“In the context of cities, resilience has helped to bridge the gap between disaster risk reduction and climate change adaption. It moves away from traditional disaster risk management, which is founded on risk assessments that relate to specific hazards. Instead, it accepts the possibility that a wide range of disruptive events- both stresses and shocks- may occur but are not necessarily predictable. Resilience focuses on enhancing the performance of a system in the face of multiple hazards, rather than preventing of mitigating the loss of assets due to specific events.” p.5
This definition is very broad and is based on a wide arena of potential possibilities. It’s rather like giving someone a blank cheque.
How are they going to do it?
The Disaster Mitigation Plan 2024-2026 references the need for community engagement. Committee for Sydney references Disaster Resilience Community Mapping. Expect soon to have Disaster Planning workshops in your town. It’s crucial that people go into these meetings with questions and seek clarity regarding the implications of the planned measures as detailed in this article. You can note from the quote below that there will be a behavioural change push for people to see this as an “opportunity” and to be part of a larger vision:
“Globally, there is an emerging roadmap for generating community acceptance of planned relocation as part of building a city’s climate resilience. The limited experience of cities that have taken on planned relocation suggests that an effective process depends on critical actions that move the community from denial and anger to acceptance. It is especially important to reframe relocation as not simply a loss of what was but as part of a larger and inspiring vision for what can be for the city’s future.”
— Peter Plastrik & John Cleveland, Innovation Network for Communities
Where will people be moved to?
In the Defending Sydney report the Committee for Sydney states:
“In the Western Sydney context, flood-prone dwellings are likely to be older, single-storey, and on larger lots- some even with riparian or rural views. Swapping to a newer, low-risk location would likely entail accepting denser living and a different style of housing or neighbourhood.” Thereby, implying that the destination where people are moved to is urban and “newer”.
“Individualised approaches to relocation move people out of high-risk areas, reducing social capital and cohesion of both those who leave and those who are left behind. A more collective and planned movement/retreat reduces risk while maintaining social cohesion of a community…” This sentence is very vague but can read as though people in towns will be moved together.
To sum up the potential managed retreat scenario, we are looking at: unaffordable housing insurance, inability to get housing insurance, housing certificates with warnings on your property, compulsory acquisition of your home, greater costs for disaster mitigation policies, infrastructure corporations determining if they will service your street/ town etc.
Natural Asset Management
In 2021, Infrastructure Australia released its ‘Pathway to Infrastructure Resilience’ report, this report is referenced in the Defending Sydney report with the following quote:
“Natural assets provide ecosystem services that can complement traditional infrastructure-related services or offset the need for physical investment.” P. 63
A Pathway to Infrastructure Resilience report states (Note, Blue refers to waterways and Green to greenspace):
“Blue and green infrastructure is not adequately valued for its contribution to resilience outcomes.
Blue and green infrastructure provides multiple benefits, including:
- Reducing a community’s vulnerability and exposure to an extreme weather event
- Mitigating the impacts of climate change and providing adaption benefits
- Improving the overall quality of urban and rual environments.
To understand what valuing ecosystem services entails, we can look at a Rockefeller initiative to put nature (eco system services) on the stock market, where they can be traded by Natural Asset Companies (NACs).
You can read more about the model here. “NACs will be corporations that hold the rights to the ecological performance (i.e., the value of natural assets and production of ecosystem services) produced by natural or working areas, such as natural reserves or large-scale farmlands, and have the authority to manage the area for conservation, restoration, or sustainable development.” p.5
As stated, the natural asset corporation has a layer of ownership over the land. Is this the model that the Australian government will follow? When people are removed from their houses the land is then traded by wealthy corporate entitles who can determine what happens on the land? Will it be sold as Big Corporate saving the Climate?
This is a complex arena to get an understanding of, but it’s crucial if people are to make an informed decision regarding the direction where the government and their private partnerships are leading us. If you aren’t comfortable with the plans, then it’s time to raise your concerns and work with others in your town or city to get the word out.
1.The modelling which the Climate Council is relying on is from Climate Valuation. Climate Valuation is a sister company to XDI. XDI and Climate Valuation sit together under the Climate Risk Group. The NSW government is using the XDI platform to inform their climate change policies. They state, “NSW Government’s Cross-Dependency Initiative (XDI) NSW platform helps NSW government agencies and councils understand the impacts climate change may have on infrastructure, so they can develop appropriate plans to reduce risks.”
2. To note, the Greater Cities Commission has been recently dissolved, and all planning functions now sit within State government departments.
The people of NSW are going to need to get coordinated to get the word out and tackle this on a local level. If you’re not in NSW look at your State plans, the disaster mitigation language will be in there.
Kate Mason is a member of Community Voice Australia (CVA). CVA is working on a project to inform the public regarding the climate change modelling and effect on private home ownership or ability to choose where to rent. To stay connected sign up at communityvoiceaustralia.org. If you want to assist email communityvoiceaustralia@tuta.com
For additional information Kate Mason has articles on Substack covering the climate mitigation, managed retreat plans.
References:
https://kate739.substack.com/p/managed-retreat-nsw-australia
https://kate739.substack.com/p/6-cities-plan-wef-rockefeller-and
https://kate739.substack.com/p/coastal-erosion-uninsurable-homes
https://kate739.substack.com/p/1-in-25-australian-homes-uninsurable
Kate Mason Interviews on Managed Retreat:
Climate Council Australia:
Government documents:
https://legislation.nsw.gov.au/view/whole/pdf/inforce/2024-02-14/act-2022-080
https://legislation.nsw.gov.au/view/whole/pdf/inforce/2024-02-23/sl-2023-0032
Committee for Sydney documents:
https://www.thebusinessofcities.com/
Resilient Sydney:
https://www.rockefellerfoundation.org/100-resilient-cities/
https://resilientcitiesnetwork.org/partner-with-us/
IAG:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Insurance_Australia_Group
New Zealand Interviews:
https://realitycheck.radio/sue-grey-on-managed-retreat-and-freedoms-nz-campaign-update/
Groups pushing back:
NZ Fabians discussing Managed Retreat:
NZ Managed Retreat compensation plan:
History of Rockefeller, environment, and Climate Change:
Thank you to Kate Mason for this informative and very well put together dossier of critical information every home owner needs to know.
Kate has been at the forefront of the push back against the globalist infiltration of Australia for many years, and deconstructing the narratives to understand the real agenda behind it.
She ran for the seat of Robertson on the NSW Central Coast as a Candidate for the Informed Medical Options Party (IMOP) in the Federal Election of 2022, and featured as our political correspondent in the 2nd Edition of Roobs Flyer Magazine in April 2022.
Find Kate on Substack – https://kate739.substack.com/
Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/katemason22
Telegram – https://t.me/KateMason1
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